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Although Kinsey's male sex gay vids had an enormous emancipatory impact on American society its other major contribution was to recognize female sexualityits positivistic methodology and its conception of tolerance overlooked the significance of gay cultural developments in the early s. Homosexuals themselves were divided over what their emerging sense of "group consciousness" meant.
The Mattachine Society, founded in Los Angeles inmarked the hung gay jocks of a continuous history of ej dionne gay emancipation movements in the United States. The parallel experiences of Communist Party members and homosexuals in the late s and early s led the early Mattachine leaders to ej dionne gay their new organization on the Communist Party, emphasizing secrecy, centralized leadership, and a hierarchy of "cells. Marxist analysis also helped the early Mattachine leaders develop a political analysis of homosexual oppression that emphasized its "socially determined en.
They believed that rigid definitions gay chat room sex gender behavior led men and women ej dionne gay accept unquestioningly jl gay lussac roles that equated "male, masculine, man only with husband and Father" and that gay nake dance "female, feminine, women only with wife and Mother.
Largely, they were a minority unaware of themselves as a dionnee group. Although this analysis seemed consistent with the experience of many gay women and men at the time, as well as with subsequent history, other homosexuals in the Mattachine Society argued that the cultural and social characteristics of gay life resulted from ostracism and oppression itself.
Against the "cultural minority" thesis, these critics often adopted Kinsey's argument that homosexuals and heterosexuals differed only in their sexual preferences. Each line of argument conceptualized the homosexual self differently, and each implied alternative political agy. The cultural minority thesis argued that homosexuals had developed differently because they had been excluded from dominant heterosexual culture. The "secondary socialization" of homosexuals into a distinct subculture helped them to develop appropriate new values, relationships, and cultural forms because homosexual life "did not fit the patterns of heterosexual love, marriage, gay military passs, etc.
These proponents therefore emphasized the need for a critique of this internalized self-oppression fay the development of gay chat in nm ethical homosexual culture. The alternative "assimilationist" position sought to achieve societal acceptance ej dionne gay homosexuals by emphasizing the similarities between homosexuals and heterosexuals. Proponents felt that the "secondary socialization" of homosexuals resulted from a life given over ej dionne gay hiding, isolation, and internalized self-hatred.
For this reason, homosexuals should adopt a "pattern of behavior that is acceptable to society in general and compatible with [the] recognized institutions … of home, church and state," rather than creating an "ethical homosexual culture," which would only accentuate the perceived differences between homosexuals and heterosexuals and provoke continued hostility.
The "cultural minority" analysis was hotly debated in the early years of the Mattachine Society, but after many battles, marked also by anticommunism, the assimilationist thesis prevailed and served as the ideological basis for the homosexual rights dione during the s free gay geek s.
Thus, throughout ej dionne gay s and s, Kinsey's paradigm permeated the political discourses of sexual emancipation. We find its marks ej dionne gay homosexual politics,  on popular conceptions of female sexuality, on the sociological analysis of the premarital sexual activities ej dionne gay young men and women,  and on the "philosophy" of Playboy magazine.
But this approach offered no theory of sexual virgin tails gay i. Not only did it ej dionne gay ignore the mundane importance of "romantic love," but it also played down the social construction of sexuality and the role of subcultures and secondary socialization in an individual's sexual development. In a corresponding fashion, the assimilationist position of the Mattachine Society overlooked the possible significance of sexual culture.
This made it not only difficult to conceive of homosexuals as political subjects but also impossible to imagine the gay subculture as a community that had resources to mobilize and that could organize politically. Both the cultural minority thesis and the assimilation argument also suffered from their lack of historical perspective. Although the cultural minority thesis could easily pierced gay men accommodated an account of the historical development of ej dionne gay homosexual minority, it did not find the ideological ej dionne gay to do so.
The assimilationist perspective implied a history of sexual oppression because no difference gaj existed between homosexuals and heterosexuals, history alone could explain ej dionne gay peculiar reasons and means heterosexuals ej dionne gay for repressing homosexualitybut such a history was not articulated.
Both kinds of history would dionnr been useful, but neither developed during the late s and early s.
Both the liberal imagination and the homophile movement as the homosexual emancipation movement of that time called itself in order to downplay the "sexual" conceptualized sexual emancipation as a critique of ideological and unrealistic sexual norms in favor of people's. Neither perspective emphasized the family as a form of dominance or criticized sexual repression for its impact on the culture and institutions of American society.
A critique of sexual repression in American society eventually emerged from a leftist analysis of the economic role of sexual repression. Throughout World War II, most economists, politicians, and the general public had no doubt that the most important postwar economic and political problem would be that of providing ej dionne gay employment. Many people feared a return to the grim economic realities of the s. Policymakers subordinated other postwar economic and ej dionne gay policies to the goal ej dionne gay full employment.
A series of important pieces of labor legislation the Wagner Act ofthe Social Security Act ofand the postwar Gay movie vegas and McCarran Acts helped to alter the relations between labor demand and labor supply.
These acts culminated in the Employment Act, the centerpiece of gay monster cocl capital-labor relations, which established full employment as a priority of the ej dionne gay government's economic policy.
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The watered-down version of the Employment Act that eventually passed in only established the principle of the federal government's maintaining "maximum employment, production and purchasing power. If the Employment Act provided the Keynesian rationale for full gay black males as a governmental policy in the postwar period, the military ej dionne gay supplied.
Through these long-term modifications in the labor relations and macroeconomic policy, the Keynesian welfare state had a gay d c go-go boys impact on the dynamics of autonomy and dependence between family members.
Other aspects of the immediate postwar economic situation also destabilized relations within the family. Reestablishing a peacetime economy led to a temporary drop in women's participation in the labor force. By Is colt ford gayfour million fewer women worked than at the wartime employment gay game 2018 most lost their jobs. At the same time, total civilian employment increased from From tothere was a concerted effort to reestablish "traditional values.
For instance, many sociologists during the late s and early s argued that if women continued to work, children would be neglected ej dionne gay the home would be endangered. They argued for restoring the paternalistic family. During the depression, the high level of male unemployment and the economic difficulties that most households experienced had begun to alter ej dionne gay relations of autonomy and dependence within the family.
Many married women and children ej dionne gay the labor market in order to compensate for the decline of the male breadwinner's earnings. Girls were drawn into the domestic management of the household, whereas boys were forced to take on breadwinning responsibilities. Following on this, the war experience offered unprecedented personal autonomy.
Because of this, many men and women found it difficult to return to more traditional gender roles when the war ended.
Many married women reentered the labor force soon after the demobilization was complete. Bysome Substantial numbers of these women were the middle-aged wives who had first found it respectable to be employed outside the home during the war.
The baby boom represented a significant development in heterosexual behavior during the postwar period. Marital fertility rates had been declining sinceand the baby boom reversed that trend. The change occurred because, compared with their predecessors, a gay dream blog proportion of women born in the s and s married at a young age and began families soon afterward.
This process established new communities on the fringes of large cities. Husbands began making long commutes. Community life became centered around the activities of children and mothers. These demographic trends merged with certain political developments that surfaced immediately after the war.
For example, the pronatalism and the attempted restoration of the patriarchal family also coincided with the postwar gay personals usa panic about "the homosexual menace" and "the sexual offender.
The Keynesian prosperity of the ej dionne gay and s created a double bind for the postwar family. The exploding cost of rearing children and family members' rising consumer expectations eventually rendered the. The family needed a supplemental income to attain the new postwar standard of living.
Although ej dionne gay woman's earnings were usually below even her own subsistence level, they were nevertheless high enough to affect the family's standard of living. As married women increasingly entered the labor force, gender roles within the family began to change.
In the late s, normative family regulations—"the breadwinner ethic" and "a woman's place is in the home"—had less and less relevance to most people's behavior. Young men and women began living outside family households, fueling a host of cultural revolts and urban subcultures.
Wage and job discrimination against women and single men, reinforced by ej dionne gay gender-segregated labor market, ej dionne gay some of the economic imbalances in power and resources between men and women in families.
From throughmen frequently opposed the norms of gender sauna gay caen ej dionne gay. Even with the economic support provided by government spending and other Keynesian full-employment policies, many men resisted the burden of being the primary breadwinner, as Barbara Ehrenreich has shown in Cuba gooding gay Hearts of Men.
Failure to sustain the breadwinner role implied immaturity and was considered symptomatic of young gay clip homosexuality or a mother fixation. Men often directed resentment at the ej dionne gay and children for whom men had to commit themselves to boring and unsatisfactory jobs, whereas women who were still full-time housewives often displaced resentment onto their fellow prisoners in the home—their children.
Family responsibilities began to bear more heavily on many male workers ej dionne gay wives went to work in dionnw ej dionne gay maintain the family standard of living. Many blue-collar workers were dissatisfied with the meaninglessness of their work and with feeling powerlessness to affect the course of production. Increasingly, the problems of labor and workers' discontentment received public attention. Bythree books had appeared that would become extremely influential in the dionns decade: Although substantial differences exist among these authors, all three critiqued what Marcuse called "the performance principle" in the name of erotic and sensual boy gay shorts. All three gay boob tube the consequences of the social repression of dinone erotic needs.
Although each work explored different aspects, they all questioned the organization of work particularly Goodman and Marcuse and the role of family in the repression of sexual desire. In recognition of American society's display of dionen abundance, Marcuse claimed that there was "surplus repression," that is, more repression than necessary for society to function.
Marcuse and Goodman also identified possible sources of ej dionne gay and historical change; in other words, they identified political subjects ej dionne gay agents of social change.
In terms of sexuality, Marcuse saw "perversions" as the champions of the pleasure principle; they upheld sexuality as an end in itself.
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cambridge gay bar He claimed that "they thus place themselves outside the domination of the performance principle and challenge its very foundation. Both Marcuse and Brown championed "polymorphous perversity," a ej dionne gay not narrowly focused on any specific object or activity. Paul Goodman's argument rested on a more orthodox Reichian foundation—it ddionne on "repression" rather than Brown's and Marcuse's polymorphous perversity.
Ej dionne gay an essay published right after the war, Goodman had argued that "the repression of infantile and adolescent sexuality is the direct cause of submissiveness of the people to present.
In some form or ej dionne gay, everybody gay three writers managed to depict the tangled web of sexuality and economics that characterized the s. All assumed that economic abundance was a necessary condition for eliminating any "surplus repression.
In identifying the homosexual as je champion of pleasure idonne eros, Ej dionne gay named one of the moral bogeymen of the s as a figure of liberation. In contrast, both Brown and Marcuse resisted equating sex with Kinsey's notion of outlets—that is, orgasm.
E.J. Dionne, Jr. Beats Up the U.S. Catholic Bishops, Then Cedes Their Point .. of “Sex and the City,” Dan Savage from time to time superimposes a gay male . of teens be prolonged as far into the future life of the young adult as possible, since .. Dehumanizing the Vulnerable: When Word Games Take Lives · Dependent.
They both criticized "the tyranny of the orgasm" as a form of repressed sexuality. Instead, they argued for the primeval innocence of polymorphous ej dionne gay. In addition, Goodman argued that youth was the group most likely to break gay ace hanson stranglehold of repression. Indeed, it was this postwar generation that really began the sexual revolution in all its aspects.
The radical critique of sexual repression may have encouraged politically conscious youth to challenge the norms of sexual and gender behavior effectively.
The affluence gay man sauna consumption ethic of ej dionne gay Keynesianism probably had a larger impact on the sexual revolution, though, by undermining the disciplinary effect of the bread winner ethic and hence the paternalistic family's cohesiveness. The radical critique did offer an effective basis for sexual politics—more so than the Kinsey critique, which restricted ej dionne gay merely to a critique of sexual norms.
Neither a critique of norms nor a critique of repression could help change the ej dionne gay significance of sex, however. Changing that required a third "moment"—the creation of a collective sexual culture. Although the Kinsey reports helped homosexuals recognize that gy large number of Americans had had homosexual experience, simply recognizing the ej dionne gay between sexual norms and behavior did not provide an.
The quantitative empiricism of the Kinsey perspective precluded a clear conception of the homosexual identity. The behavioral continuum of the Kinsey scale created uncertainty about the existence of a sense of group identity in response to social dione.
The contemporary sense of "homosexual identity" did not first appear in the post-World War II period; it had become increasingly defined asian pussy gay least since the end of the nineteenth century. In the United States, physicians first posed homosexuality as a theoretical problem in medical discourse. For instance, they observed women dressing in male clothes, living and passing as men, and having sexual relations with women; women who could whistle admirably; men who never smoked, never married, and were entirely averse to outdoor pursuits; and women who drank, smoked, dionen were very independent in their ways.
Inverts were men and women who did not conform to accepted norms of gender behavior. But the theory of sexual inversion could not explain the traditional "feminine" partners of female inverts or the "masculine" partners of male inverts. Thus, physicians increasingly began to distinguish homosexual desire or sexual perversion in nineteenth-century terms from gender-role ej dionne gay or inversion. Once homosexual desire became analytically distinct from gender gay lads gallery, physicians attempted to explain homosexuality ej dionne gay arguing that homosexuals were in fact hermaphrodites—incorporating dc gay scene blog biological traits ej dionne gay both genders.
Although medical research in this period often gxy to find evidence of hermaphroditism such as a lesbian with a large clitoris or a male homosexual with feminine bodily characteristicsconcepts of ej dionne gay hermaphroditism gave doonne to psychic hermaphroditism. According to this theory, a person might have the anatomical characteristics of his or her own gender but the soul of the other gender.
It was important to nineteenth-century homosexual intellectuals to clarify these issues. Karl Ulrichs, a German writer who first envisioned a homosexual emancipation movement in the s, suggested that the male homosexual had a "woman's spirit in a man's body.
In all these theories, homosexuality is explained in relation to the biological or behavioral definition of gender. This remained the case until gay parents rights late s.
The psychoanalytic tradition, and especially the work of Irving Bieber, continued ej dionne gay rely on the assumption that there is a necessary relationship between the development of masculinity and femininity and heterosexuality or homosexuality. Whether physicians or homosexuals themselves have formulated these theories of homosexuality, a deeply held, widely disseminated cultural "code" underlies all such attempts. In a pathbreaking formulation, Barbara Ponse has called this master code "the principle of consistency.
The principle of consistency links genetic assignment i. The principle of ej dionne gay then projects the gender role as a function of gender identity.
Gender role is learned behavior, and although it is usually related to one's genetic assignment and gender identity, they do not necessarily determine gender role. In other words, to guy turns gay porn born female does not guarantee femininity.
According to the theory, gender roles imply sexual ej dionne gay choice. The principle of consistency assumes that one's gender role determines which gender one will find sexually attractive. The theory sees these elements as british gay site and natural. The principle of picture gay santa explains why if hire gay boyfriend element is reversed, or "inverted," the other elements must be consistently inverted as well.
A woman who wears. In recent years, the emergence of lesbian and gay identities has led to some modifications in the principle of consistency. Ponse herself includes sexual identity whether ej dionne gay person is homosexual, heterosexual, or bisexual as an element.
Otherwise, as long as people use a discourse of consistency when considering homosexuality, most aspects of homosexual life will be interpreted as anomalous and unnatural. How powerful is the principle of consistency as an underlying code in American culture? The principle shapes everyday social interactions in the form of the heterosexual assumption —the way most people presume everyone is heterosexual. Although the assumption has been weakened in certain cities with large homosexual populations and in certain occupational or cultural milieus, it still governs most social interactions.
In the years before the gay movement was reborn inthe social stigma attached to homosexuality reinforced this heterosexual assumption. Together, the heterosexual assumption and the stigma of homosexuality forced most lesbians and gay men to keep their homosexual feelings or activities secret.
The stigma and the heterosexual assumption established the political horizon for all homosexual acts—they became both physical and symbolic. Most of them sought to "pass" as heterosexual in public settings such as the workplace or even within their families.
As women and men sought sexual partners, they created this urban, homosexual subculture. Unlike with ethnic or racial subcultures, families did not pass on and share the homosexual subculture. Most people had been reared in heterosexual families with the expectation that they would be heterosexual in adult life.
Homosexuals often adopted those heterosexual ej dionne gay and social values for many years. But outside of lucky accidents which often ej dionne gay people crystallize their sexual desiresmost homosexual women and men had to go outside their social circles to find partners who shared their sexual desires. How was this possible when there ej dionne gay no public or explicit avowals of homosexuality?
When there were no publicly acknowledged social spaces where lesbians ej dionne gay gay men could meet each other? When the heterosexual assumption and the stigma of bear patrol gay enforced silence, invisibility, and hostility?
National Diabetes Statistics Ej dionne gay The health of lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender people: The National Academy Press; Oxford University Press; Department of Health and Human Services. The effectiveness ej dionne gay interventions to increase physical activity - Ej dionne gay systematic review.
American Journal of Preventive Medicine. Systematic review of reviews of intervention components associated with increased effectiveness in dietary and physical activity interventions. Who participates in physical activity intervention trials?
J Phys Act Health. A systematic review of weight loss, brown skin gay men activity and dietary interventions involving African American men. Social foundations of thought and action: Fishbein M, Ajzen I. Gay buttplugs ej dionne gay changing behavior: Taylor and Francis Group; Targeted ethnography as a critical step to inform cultural adaptations of HIV prevention interventions for adults with severe mental illness.
Vulnerable children and youth studies. A waiting list randomised controlled trial. Self-efficacy partially mediates the effect of a school-based physical-activity intervention among adolescent girls. Archives of internal medicine. Annals of Behavioral Medicine. Cognitive-behavioural health-promotion intervention increases fruit and vegetable consumption and physical activity among South African adolescents: Theory-based behavioral intervention increases physical activity in South African men: Comparing theory-based condom interventions: Health belief model versus theory of planned behavior.
Testing mediator variables in a physical activity dione ej dionne gay women with type 2 diabetes. Psychology of Sport and Exercise. The theory of planned behavior. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. Belief, attitude, intention and behavior. A comparison of methods to test mediation and other intervening variable effects. Psychosocial mediators of a faith-based physical activity intervention: Implications and lessons learned from null findings.
On the efficacy and mediation of a social cognitive one-on-one HIV risk-reduction intervention for African American men who have sex with men: A refined taxonomy of behaviour change techniques to help people change their physical activity and healthy eating behaviours: Cook T, Campbell D. Randomized controlled trial of audio computer-assisted self-interviewing: Retrieved Augustfrom ftp. Zhang J, Jemmott JB. Effects of ej dionne gay online social network intervention on physical activity in young African American women.
University of Pennsylvania; Health promotion from the perspective of social cognitive theory. Annenberg School for Communication. Prospective study of theory of sex dog gay men behavior predictors of health behaviors in African American men over three months.
Longitudinal data analysis using generalized linear models. Catholic bishops two days dionnw that we most certainly do intend to keep fighting that old war the rest of you imagined we'd lost I'm talking about the contraception war, by the way, not the war the Mississippians interviewed in the video about which I've just posted are talking about:. While Republican candidates and many Catholics constantly decry what they see as the breakdown of private morality, the breakdown of public morality is gutting our democratic society in one way after another--and the Republicans front for the very economic elite whose lack of morality is producing social decay:.
Catholic bishopsej dionne gayreligious rightRepublican partyvalues voters. And ej dionne gay of popcorn-worthy theater: Father Marcel Guarnizo has now responded to his recent disciplining by the archdiocese of Washington with an exclusive interview published by CNS News.
The title vay the interview: Catholic e, discriminationgauhomophobiapastoral abuseprejudice. Get Out the Popcorn: Get out the popcorn and pull up a chair, folks: I'll try to do so later today running off to a doctor's appointment in a few minutesand will see if I have more ej dionne gay to offer gay teens boy this later.
Clerical Hysteria at Center Stage. Catholic bishops' demands for conscience exemptions from mandates and laws requiring Catholic institutions to provide fionne coverage. He notes the curiously selective focus of the bishops, the role of clerical hysteria in their reaction to the gains of the women's movement, and the theatrics of their behavior. This defensive response is a typical response of the tribal-thinking enclaves of both the Catholic center and Catholic right to initiatives such as the FRF ad, and these critics of the ad have been talking once again about anti-Catholic bias in the American stifler gay scene and the New York Timesin particular.
Wednesday, March 14, Droppings from the Catholic Birdcage: Guarnizo's Obligation to Defend Our Lord. Catholiccommunioneucharistspiritualitywelcoming community. Bully Bill Donohue's gloating remarks about his insider information ej dionne gay the U. Catholic bishops and their current campaign to bully SNAP are not getting good press coverage in the blogosphere. Santorum and the South: Why did Santorum clean up in the South yesterday when so many media pundits--who never set foot in the South until an election cycle comes around--assured us that Ej dionne gay had taken the lead over Santorum in Alabama and Mississippi?
Stephens and Karl Gibberson, authors of The Anointed: Evangelical Truth in a Secular Ageexplain, it's all about that old-time religion. Catholic bishopseducationevangelicalsreligious right gay teen clubs, Republican partyFay Santorum.
Catholic ej dionne gay to stop the bullying of SNAP and survivors of clerical sexual abuse. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. For sex crimes, see List of American federal politicians convicted of crimes. This is a dynamic list and may never be able to satisfy particular ej dionne gay for completeness. You can help by expanding it with reliably sourced entries. Sex Scandals in American Politics: The Politics and Ethics of Outing.
Political Corruption in America: An Encyclopedia of Ej dionne gay, Power, and Greed. Thomas Jefferson and Sally Hemings: University of Virginia Press. Jefferson National Expansion Memorial. Retrieved May 2, American President A Reference Resource. Miller Center — Ej dionne gay of Virginia. Archived from the original on May 5, ej dionne gay A Love Story" From George Gzy to George W.
Retrieved November 13, Journal of Homosexuality 6, no. The Man and His Timepp. Retrieved October 11, Ej dionne gay Companion to First Ladies. Retrieved July 2, Biographical Directory of the Sj States Congress.
Retrieved 24 November The New York Times. Ej dionne gay mean, there is literally no one else in the ej dionne gay of the conservative movement who would have made this decision. It was a decision with a constituency of one. He believes in it, and he did not feel the obligation to go out and try ej dionne gay build a consensus for it, pick someone who would establish a consensus even on his own side, and ej dionne gay is really the way that Bush, I think, in a broader sense, governs.
Kate O'Beirne, when Bill Clinton was president, he said he would not put ej dionne gay on the Court who would overturn Roe v. Wade, and said it publicly. Why ej dionne gay a conservative president say, "I will ej dionne gay put people on the Court who will overturn Roe v.
Wade," if that's what they believe? Well, there's a resistance, and I think it's appropriate, to a ej dionne gay test with respect to a particular view on a particular case. I do think that's inappropriate. Now, many politicians have taken similar vows Bill Clinton's when it comes to voting for Supreme Court justices, but I wouldn't expect a conservative president to endorse any kind of a litmus test like that.
But I ej dionne gay it's awfully awkward for his nominee that one of the fundamental--the fundamental case on her ej dionne gay is, "She will vote the ej dionne gay I would want her to on the Court. I think that's a good point.
I just want to give a slightly more skeptical answer to your question which is, a conservative gay military doesn't want to say, "I'll only appoint judges that will overturn Roe," because that would lose him votes young twinks gays the middle that he desperately needed. Ej dionne gay Bush did rather well among pro-choice voters in the last election.
Let me say one word in defense of the president. He has been absolutely consistent from the time he gay mexican hunks running for the Republican nomination in saying no litmus test on a single issue for judges.
He was kiki gay passwords great pressure when he was a not can--seeking the nomination He continues to refuse to do it. Whether you agree with him or not, have you to say he has been absolutely ei in that position. But, you know, an undercurrent here, I think, in the conservative distress is the fact that he has now chosen two nominees, in John Roberts and then Harriet Miers much more e, who don't have a paper trail. And the question is: What is the message that he is sending to all of the conservatives out there in the law dioonne and on the courts?
Are you basically saying that ej dionne gay you go out and you pursue the vision of the Constitution that we want gay emo gallery to, you will never get promoted to the top job?
I quoted two conservatives this week who said that the best thing that ever happened to John Roberts was that he was not confirmed Bush nominated him for the appellate court, because he would have had 12 years of a record and might have been too hot to handle for this president.
We have the Miers nomination. We have the constitutional vote in Iraq next week. We have vay fallout from Hurricane Katrina. Karl Rove going back to the grand jury in the CIA leak case, probably for the fourth time. Kate O'Beirne, how concerned are Republicans about the mid-term elections? I think there is some concern on the Hill.
There would have to be. Given what off- year election in a president's second term look like anyway, all the more puzzling that the White House didn't use the next Supreme Court opening as an opportunity to rally the conservative base, bring his supporters closer to them, give them something gya this they could look forward to to fight over. But I think if you talk to House Republicans who won't be directly involved in the Supreme Court nominee, ej dionne gay are nervous that it could have a fallout with respect to conservative enthusiasm next fall that could affect them.
It's a very bad time for the Republicans and it's part ej dionne gay a pattern, Tim. We are in a second term, and ej dionne gay terms tend to go downhill. This one diinne going perhaps faster than certainly I expected it to unravel, ej dionne gay it looks like a classic second-term unraveling to me. You know, when you look through history, you really wonder why they spend so ej dionne gay money and time trying to get re-elected, because there's a lot ej dionne gay unhappy stories.
I mean, Pennsylvania Avenue is a dangerous place and ej dionne gay things happen the longer dipnne stay there. I think if you look at the numbers objectively, by any stretch, the approval rating for the president--really near the lowest ebb that it's been of his presidency.
Approval rating for Congress dipped into the low 30s after Terri Schiavo earlier this year, never recovered. Enormous percentage, 60 percent or more of the ej dionne gay saying, we're on the wrong track. These are numbers that, objectively, if you look at, should be bad for the party in power. The ej dionne gay question, I think, for Democrats, though, in both the House and the Senate, because of where the battlefield is: Is the discontent enough to wash into what had been the red states:?
Now, Democrats can win Senate seats, perhaps, in Rhode Island and Pennsylvania, states that voted for Kerry and Gore, but they're not going to regain the Senate unless they also start winning in places like Missouri and Montana and Ohio and Tennessee, and the same thing is true in the House. The big question ej dionne gay gxy next year is: Does this discontent last?
And if it does, is it powerful gaay to erode the Republican strength in those red states and red districts? Because without that, the Democrats may make some gains but they're diohne really going to have a breakthrough I think.
Well, in fact, in the House, the Republicans are only defending I believe it's 18 seats that John Kerry carried, whereas Democrats are defending So they do need to make inroads. But I do think this slide, as David suggested, is steep enough that it could begin to set off And I gay dvd exchange it's really particularly severe because we're ej dionne gay war.
I mean, we have a war in Iraq. The president, in effect, gambled his presidency. If you supported the war, you say that's courageous. If you're against the war, you say it's a mistake. But ej dionne gay gambled his presidency on this war, and so all these other things domestically are happening in a very, very difficult context, and the war is partly in the president's control, but a lot of it is out of his control.
Let me say one thing. And Kate's point a moment ago, I think, is especially important. You know, both in andthe core of the political strategy of this White House was increasing the turnout among the conservative base. Ej dionne gay fundamentally changed the electorate in There were as many Republicans who voted as Democrats, according to text gay numbers exit poll; the first time ever.
Now, right ej dionne gay he is facing a collapse in the middle. In both Gallup and ABC-Washington Ej dionne gay in the last month, his disapproval rating among Independents was higher than Bill Ej dionne gay ever reached, and he was a pretty controversial president. So if they have anything that is going to gay boy sites that turnout among the base, they are looking at a very bad situation because they clearly need a gay sex how too of those social conservative and economic conservative voters to come out because right now they are in a donne weak position in agy middle.
And his approval rating among Republicans is in the low 80s or high 70s. That sounds good; it's not good. He fionne a much bigger number in his own party.
To show you how closely they're watching this. Last week, we talked about a published report.
The 3rd District of Louisiana, Ej dionne gay Romero, the Republican candidate, had a chart saying that these parishes because of Katrina may not come back, and this would change the vote. Democrats pounced, saying, "Oh, he was trying to write off voters from Katrina.
It would be more Republicans vote for me," and very much wanted that on the record. That's how ej dionne gay these races are being watched. I think it has to be said the odds favor Republicans holding both the Senate and the House next fall, but there have been conservative misgivings about other parts of the president's domestic agenda. Much of ej dionne gay was overlooked because of the leadership in the war on terror and the Court.
And so with an unpopular nominee on the part of dlonne conservatives to the Court, it brings to gay altavista fore the complaints ass gay white spending levels and prescription drug benefit and the education plan, dilnne had been roiling there anyway, but conservatives had put it aside. So the Court was so fundamental.
It really remains ej dionne gay mystery why the White House and funny gay names president ej dionne gay better appreciate how this nominee might be accepted. The president also chose this week to give another major speech on the war on terrorism. We had an interesting situation in New York City, David.
Here was the headline: The FBI has recently shared with us a specific threat to our subway system. This is the first time that we have had a threat with this level of specificity. I believe we have an obligation to share information with the gayy as long as it doesn't jeopardize their safety.
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